Research Desk

Daily Detailed Report

This report is not filler content; it is the final verification layer before execution. It packages the lead judgment, collection status, and top debate outputs into one research-desk flow.

Report as of 09/15/2026, 09:21 PM

Pipeline
v2.0
Equity
$971,986.77
Return
-2.80%
Open Positions
4
Runtime

Runtime health

Runtime payload is fresh and has enough verified history for public use.

state fresh
report 09/15/2026, 09:21 PM
age 0.0h
verified 2909
Lead

Lead Judgment

Review the highest-conviction call first.

KC
Bullish · Confirm
72%

KC +37.8%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

lead conviction72%
Human-readable interpretation
Key reason
i

[Supply Crew / Coffee] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+36.09%). RSI 5 → 과매도, 반등 가능. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세. 볼린저 하단 이탈 → 반등 가능

Why caution or waiting may be better
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Next thing to check
i

높은 변동성 47% → 갑작스런 반전 가능

Need more context?
i

If evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm run become the extra validation layer.

Why this call

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Risks

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Agent views
Supply Crew
Coffee

Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+36.09%). RSI 5 → 과매도, 반등 가능. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세. 볼린저 하단 이탈 → 반등 가능

Demand Crew
Coffee

Quant 수요 관점: bullish (+36.09%). 명절 시즌 접근 → 기관 수요 증가 예상

Macro Crew
Coffee

원유 52주 81% → 물류비/비료비 상승 압력. 천연가스 52주 7% → 비료 원가↓

Market regime

High-volatility regime

Event context
높은 변동성 47% → 갑작스런 반전 가능
Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Execution

Execution Funnel

The current structure is evidence → validation → TradingView execution.

Hit rate
41.8%
verified 2909
Win rate
40%
30 trades
Data

Collection Snapshot

Compress the size of today's input layer into one view.

Global futures: 0
KR items: 0 / 0
Intelligence: 00
Signals: weather 0 · text 0
Portfolio

Open Positions

Inspect the active positions and unrealized state.

Equity
$971,986.77
Realized PnL
-$28,988.23
Cash
$939,411.77
Margin Used
$31,600.00
Debate

Top Debate Results

List the strongest debate outputs by confidence.

HE
Adjust · Bullish
90% conf

HE +7.2%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Key reason
i

[Supply Crew / Lean Hogs] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+7.81%). 52주 저점 8% 부근 → 공급 감소 예상. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Why caution or waiting may be better
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Next thing to check
i

높은 변동성 57% → 예측 불확실성 상승

Raw reasoning

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Raw risks

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
KC
Confirm · Bullish
72% conf

KC +37.8%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Key reason
i

[Supply Crew / Coffee] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+36.09%). RSI 5 → 과매도, 반등 가능. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세. 볼린저 하단 이탈 → 반등 가능

Why caution or waiting may be better
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Next thing to check
i

높은 변동성 47% → 갑작스런 반전 가능

Raw reasoning

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Raw risks

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
CC
Confirm · Bullish
72% conf

CC +5.0%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Key reason
i

[Supply Crew / Cocoa] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+5.60%). SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Why caution or waiting may be better
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Next thing to check
i

높은 변동성 46% → 예측 불확실성 상승

Raw reasoning

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Raw risks

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
CT
Confirm · Bullish
72% conf

CT +2.0%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Key reason
i

[Supply Crew / Cotton] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+1.35%). SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Why caution or waiting may be better
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Next thing to check
i

높은 변동성 33% → 예측 불확실성 상승

Raw reasoning

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Raw risks

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
ZO
Adjust · Bearish
68% conf

ZO -21.6%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Key reason
i

[Supply Crew / Oats] Quant 7일 예측: bearish (-21.34%). RSI 82 → 과매수, 조정 가능. 52주 고점 100% 부근 → 공급 증가 유인. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Why caution or waiting may be better
i

Waiting or staying defensive is cleaner than acting immediately.

Next thing to check
i

고유가 지속 시 곡물 생산비 증가

Raw reasoning

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Raw risks

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
ZC
Adjust · Bullish
67% conf

ZC +3.6%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Key reason
i

[Supply Crew / Corn] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+2.41%). RSI 75 → 과매수, 조정 가능. 52주 고점 100% 부근 → 공급 증가 유인. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Why caution or waiting may be better
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Next thing to check
i

52주 고점 100% → 저항 가능

Raw reasoning

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Raw risks

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
NG
Adjust · Bullish
67% conf

NG +12.7%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Key reason
i

[Supply Crew / Natural Gas] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+8.38%). 52주 저점 7% 부근 → 공급 감소 예상. SMA50<SMA200 데스크로스 → 하락 추세

Why caution or waiting may be better
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Next thing to check
i

고유가 지속 시 곡물 생산비 증가

Raw reasoning

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Raw risks

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
LE
Confirm · Bearish
51% conf

LE -7.3%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Key reason
i

[Supply Crew / Live Cattle] Quant 7일 예측: bearish (-6.90%). SMA50<SMA200 데스크로스 → 하락 추세

Why caution or waiting may be better
i

Waiting or staying defensive is cleaner than acting immediately.

Next thing to check
i

고유가 지속 시 곡물 생산비 증가

Raw reasoning

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Raw risks

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
Quant

Quant Forecast Table

Review the numeric forecast layer in tabular form.

TickerCurrent7D30DMAPE
Positions

Open Positions

Inspect the active positions and unrealized state.

TickerSideContractsEntryCurrentUnrealized
NGshort52.832.884-$2,700.00
ZSlong31280.51305$3,675.00
SBlong519.0619.06$0.00
CClong160296029$0.00