Public Track Record
Paper trading equity · 12 commodity futures hit rate · 41 closed trades
Updated 2026-08-02T06:06:47
Equity
$981,634
Initial capital: $1,000,000
Cumulative return
-1.84%
Realized P&L: -$6,713
Win rate
28.6%
2W / 5L · n=7
Profit factor
0.60
Avg win: $5,013 · Avg loss: -$3,348
Equity curve (7 trades)
Hit rate by ticker
Overall prediction hit rate: 53.5% · Verified sample: 1104
SB
84%
76H / 15M
NG
82%
75H / 16M
HE
75%
68H / 23M
ZO
75%
68H / 23M
ZS
67%
63H / 31M
KC
58%
53H / 38M
LE
53%
48H / 43M
ZW
52%
49H / 45M
CL
41%
37H / 54M
CC
30%
27H / 64M
ZC
24%
23H / 74M
CT
4%
4H / 87M
Last 15 trades
| Date | Ticker | Side | P&L | Days | Exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T06:58:11 | HE | long | -$5,424 | 4 | stop |
| 2026-07-30T06:58:11 | SB | long | $96 | 13 | stop |
| 2026-07-27T18:00:13 | ZS | long | -$6,820 | 2 | stop |
| 2026-07-27T12:00:12 | MNG | long | -$221 | 9 | stop |
| 2026-07-24T22:48:07 | ZW | long | -$2,670 | 5 | stop |
| 2026-07-24T18:00:13 | ZS | long | $9,930 | 4 | target |
| 2026-07-23T12:00:14 | NG | short | -$1,604 | 3 | stop |
Methodology
Paper trading engine ($100k initial). Uses free-tier yfinance + KAMIS data, half-Kelly position sizing + 6-stage Risk Manager. Every trade fills instantly at market price.