ما توقعات سعر قمح بعد 30 يوما؟

30-day forecast: $613.80 (-1.24%), range: $593.26–$633.33.

كيف ابدا تداول عقود قمح الاجلة؟

قمح (ZW) futures trade on CME/ICE. Review CropCast evidence and scorecard, then execute via a charting platform like TradingView.

ما العوامل الرئيسية المؤثرة على سعر قمح؟

Key factors include USDA stock reports, NOAA weather forecasts, CFTC COT positioning, NASA NDVI crop health, FX rates, and energy prices.

ما دقة توقعات CropCast لسعر قمح؟

Hit rate: 43.6% (34/78). Wrong calls stay visible.

توقعات سعر قمح 2026 — ذكاء اصطناعي

↑صعود⇄ADJUST

السعر الحالي

$621.50

+4.28%

مستوى الإجماع

90%

مستوى الثقة

83%

ثقة القرار83%

Main report time

Market snapshot time

١٨‏/٠٦‏/٢٠٢٦، ١٢:٠٦ ص (UTC)

Quant basis

7D bullish · 0.64%

قمح يميل حالياً إلى الاتجاه الصاعد.

راجع الأدلة أولاً ثم اتبع السيناريو الصاعد بشكل انتقائي.

التقرير اليومي بطاقة الأداء

Summary

قراءة مبسطة

اقرأ الاتجاه والدليل والمخاطر أولاً ثم قرر كيف تنفذ.

قراءة سريعة

قمح يميل حالياً إلى الاتجاه الصاعد. راجع الأدلة أولاً ثم اتبع السيناريو الصاعد بشكل انتقائي.

Judgment basis

Adopted moderator evidence is unavailable, so this section currently shows supporting crew evidence instead.

Main report time

Market snapshot time

١٨‏/٠٦‏/٢٠٢٦، ١٢:٠٦ ص (UTC)

Quant basis

7D bullish · 0.64%

Evidence basis

العرض

[Supply Crew / ZW] Weather alert: DROUGHT_RISK in france_beauce threatens ZW supply. Moisture deficit in us_wheat_belt: precip 5mm vs ET0 demand 41mm. Moisture deficit in black_sea: precip 3mm vs ET0 demand 37mm. Moisture deficit in france_beauce: precip 0mm vs ET0 demand 43mm. Moisture deficit in argentina_rosario: precip 1mm vs ET0 demand 9mm. Quant 7d forecast: bullish (+4.2%), supply may be tightening. Seasonal: month 6 is typically a tight-supply period for ZW

الطلب

[Demand Crew / ZW] Quant 7d: bullish (+4.2%), consistent with demand strength

الماكرو

[Macro Crew / ZW] Natural gas at 52w 15%: fertilizer costs low. Broad momentum: 7 golden crosses across commodities. HIGH crisis level: elevated risk appetite for commodities. Quant 7d: bullish (+4.2%), macro alignment

لماذا هذا الحكم

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

لماذا قد يكون الانتظار أفضل

Even on a bullish call, remaining risks mean waiting for confirmation can still be cleaner than chasing.

ما الذي نتابعه بعد ذلك

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Need more context?

When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.

Agent views

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

Market regime

Directional regime

Event context

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Disagreement diagnosis

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Moderator log

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Adopted evidence

Deferred evidence

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

السيناريو الأساسي

قمح يميل حالياً إلى الاتجاه الصاعد.

مراقبة المخاطر

لا توجد حالياً خلافات كبيرة.

ZW swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 6 active signals.

Chart

مخطط السوق

المخطط مرجع بصري فقط؛ أما القرار الحقيقي فيأتي من الأدلة و debate أدناه.

البيانات متأخرة. راجع الأدلة وبطاقة الأداء معاً قبل القرار.

Quant

Quant Forecast

قارن نطاقات 7D و14D و30D في البنية نفسها.

$625.46

+0.64%

$606.62 ~ $646.05

14d

$629.25

+1.25%

$610.54 ~ $648.94

30d

$613.80

-1.24%

$593.26 ~ $633.33

Technical Analysis

Debate

4-Crew Debate

هنا تؤكد المنظومة أو تعدل أو تعكس قاعدة quant الأساسية.

Decision

⇄ADJUST

Direction

↑صعود

Consensus

90%

Score

+0.842

Swarm

Recent Swarm Scenario

في ظروف الأزمة تصبح المحاكاة طبقة قرار إضافية.

Run

swarm_20260616_065533_zw

Direction

صعود

Confidence

92%

ZW swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 6 active signals.

가뭄 경고 (1개)폭염 경고KC 52주 극단

Track Record

Prediction History

Recent prediction track record for ZW

44%

Hit rate

AI Debate

إجماع AI متعدد

تحليل متقاطع من وكلاء AI مستقلين

▲

حكم AI

صعودي

الثقة

65%

إجماع

89%

Agents

6/12

توزيع الأصوات

صعودي

89%

محايد

12%

هبوطي

العوامل الرئيسية

1Golden Cross Structural Uptrend
2Quant Model High Accuracy Multi Horizon Bullish
3Black Sea Supply Floor Risk Premium
4Harvest Pressure Temporary Not Structural
5Simultaneous Multi Region ET0 Deficit June Grain Fill

المخاطر الرئيسية

!June Harvest Pressure Could Extend RSI Decline Toward 30 Before Reversal
!Black Sea Corridor Normalization Or Bumper Crop Surprise Removes Risk Premium
!Weather Premium Already Embedded At 604 Current Price
!Argentina Sh Recovery Still Possible Early Season

ملخص تحليل الطاقم

▲Globalsonnet-4.6

The Golden Cross (SMA50 > SMA200) combined with a high-accuracy quant model (2.2% MAPE) forecasting 4-5% gains across all horizons provides the structural backbone for a bullish stance despite...

◈Supplysonnet-4.6

The ET0-to-precipitation ratios are alarming — France Beauce at 0mm vs 43mm demand, US Wheat Belt at 5mm vs 41mm, and Black Sea at 3mm vs 37mm represent simultaneous mid-June stress across the three...

◎Macrosonnet-4.6

Elevated geopolitical risk (likely Black Sea/Russia-Ukraine supply disruption premium) combined with broad commodity momentum (7 golden crosses) creates a supportive macro backdrop for ZW.

⬡Logisticssonnet-4.6

Weather-induced disruptions to Russian wheat shipments are the dominant logistics signal here — rising export prices ($240/ton) with simultaneous weather interference means reduced effective Black...

القواعد مقابل AIagree

Execution

Evidence → Validation → TradingView

أزل سلوك التسوق وأبق الصفحة مركزة على الأدلة والتحقق والتنفيذ عبر الرسم البياني.

Report

افتح تقرير الأدلة

Validation

راجع بطاقة الأداء والتداول التجريبي

Path

30-Day Forecast Path

Date	Forecast	Low	High
2026-06-18	$618.62	$600.75	$638.09
2026-06-19	$619.13	$598.16	$637.43
2026-06-20	$661.60	$641.26	$681.79
2026-06-21	$662.80	$643.67	$681.80
2026-06-22	$622.67	$604.37	$641.51
2026-06-23	$624.57	$605.70	$645.91
2026-06-24	$625.46	$606.62	$646.05
2026-06-25	$626.45	$606.14	$645.44
2026-06-26	$626.61	$605.64	$645.38
2026-06-27	$668.59	$650.06	$689.15
2026-06-28	$669.15	$650.92	$688.68
2026-06-29	$628.27	$609.16	$647.42
2026-06-30	$629.31	$610.78	$649.71
2026-07-01	$629.25	$610.54	$648.94

E-E-A-T

مصادر البيانات

USDA WASDE NOAA ENSO/CFSv2 CFTC COT NASA NDVI KAMIS CME Group FAO

المنهجية: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more

اخر تحديث: ١٨‏/٠٦‏/٢٠٢٦، ١٢:٠٦ ص (UTC)