Research Desk

Informe Diario Detallado

Este informe no es relleno; es la capa final de validación antes de ejecutar. Reúne la decisión principal, el estado de recolección y los debates más fuertes en un mismo flujo de research desk.

Informe al 15/09/2026, 21:21

Pipeline
v2.0
Capital
$971,986.77
Retorno
-2.80%
Posiciones abiertas
4
Runtime

Runtime health

Runtime payload is fresh and has enough verified history for public use.

state fresh
report 15/09/2026, 21:21
age 0.0h
verified 2909
Lead

Lead Judgment

Revisa primero la llamada de mayor convicción.

KC
Alcista · Confirmar
72%

KC +37.8%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Convicción principal72%
Lectura humana
Razón principal
i

[Supply Crew / Coffee] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+36.09%). RSI 5 → 과매도, 반등 가능. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세. 볼린저 하단 이탈 → 반등 가능

Por qué conviene esperar o ser prudente
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Siguiente punto a revisar
i

높은 변동성 47% → 갑작스런 반전 가능

Need more context?
i

If evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm run become the extra validation layer.

Razones clave

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Riesgos

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Agent views
Supply Crew
Coffee

Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+36.09%). RSI 5 → 과매도, 반등 가능. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세. 볼린저 하단 이탈 → 반등 가능

Demand Crew
Coffee

Quant 수요 관점: bullish (+36.09%). 명절 시즌 접근 → 기관 수요 증가 예상

Macro Crew
Coffee

원유 52주 81% → 물류비/비료비 상승 압력. 천연가스 52주 7% → 비료 원가↓

Market regime

High-volatility regime

Event context
높은 변동성 47% → 갑작스런 반전 가능
Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Execution

Execution Funnel

La estructura actual es evidencia → validación → ejecución en TradingView.

Hit rate
41.8%
verified 2909
Win rate
40%
30 trades
Data

Collection Snapshot

Condensa el tamaño de la capa de entrada de hoy en una sola vista.

Global futures: 0
KR items: 0 / 0
Intelligence: 00
Signals: weather 0 · text 0
Portfolio

Open Positions

Inspecciona posiciones activas y estado no realizado.

Equity
$971,986.77
Realized PnL
-$28,988.23
Cash
$939,411.77
Margin Used
$31,600.00
Debate

Top Debate Results

Lista los debates más fuertes por confianza.

HE
Ajustar · Alcista
90% conf

HE +7.2%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Razón principal
i

[Supply Crew / Lean Hogs] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+7.81%). 52주 저점 8% 부근 → 공급 감소 예상. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Por qué conviene esperar o ser prudente
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Siguiente punto a revisar
i

높은 변동성 57% → 예측 불확실성 상승

Razones originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Riesgos originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
KC
Confirmar · Alcista
72% conf

KC +37.8%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Razón principal
i

[Supply Crew / Coffee] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+36.09%). RSI 5 → 과매도, 반등 가능. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세. 볼린저 하단 이탈 → 반등 가능

Por qué conviene esperar o ser prudente
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Siguiente punto a revisar
i

높은 변동성 47% → 갑작스런 반전 가능

Razones originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Riesgos originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
CC
Confirmar · Alcista
72% conf

CC +5.0%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Razón principal
i

[Supply Crew / Cocoa] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+5.60%). SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Por qué conviene esperar o ser prudente
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Siguiente punto a revisar
i

높은 변동성 46% → 예측 불확실성 상승

Razones originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Riesgos originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
CT
Confirmar · Alcista
72% conf

CT +2.0%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Razón principal
i

[Supply Crew / Cotton] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+1.35%). SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Por qué conviene esperar o ser prudente
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Siguiente punto a revisar
i

높은 변동성 33% → 예측 불확실성 상승

Razones originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Riesgos originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
ZO
Ajustar · Bajista
68% conf

ZO -21.6%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Razón principal
i

[Supply Crew / Oats] Quant 7일 예측: bearish (-21.34%). RSI 82 → 과매수, 조정 가능. 52주 고점 100% 부근 → 공급 증가 유인. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Por qué conviene esperar o ser prudente
i

Waiting or staying defensive is cleaner than acting immediately.

Siguiente punto a revisar
i

고유가 지속 시 곡물 생산비 증가

Razones originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Riesgos originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
ZC
Ajustar · Alcista
67% conf

ZC +3.6%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Razón principal
i

[Supply Crew / Corn] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+2.41%). RSI 75 → 과매수, 조정 가능. 52주 고점 100% 부근 → 공급 증가 유인. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Por qué conviene esperar o ser prudente
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Siguiente punto a revisar
i

52주 고점 100% → 저항 가능

Razones originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Riesgos originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
NG
Ajustar · Alcista
67% conf

NG +12.7%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Razón principal
i

[Supply Crew / Natural Gas] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+8.38%). 52주 저점 7% 부근 → 공급 감소 예상. SMA50<SMA200 데스크로스 → 하락 추세

Por qué conviene esperar o ser prudente
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Siguiente punto a revisar
i

고유가 지속 시 곡물 생산비 증가

Razones originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Riesgos originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
LE
Confirmar · Bajista
51% conf

LE -7.3%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Razón principal
i

[Supply Crew / Live Cattle] Quant 7일 예측: bearish (-6.90%). SMA50<SMA200 데스크로스 → 하락 추세

Por qué conviene esperar o ser prudente
i

Waiting or staying defensive is cleaner than acting immediately.

Siguiente punto a revisar
i

고유가 지속 시 곡물 생산비 증가

Razones originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Riesgos originales

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
Quant

Quant Forecast Table

Revisa la capa numérica en formato de tabla.

TickerCurrent7D30DMAPE
Positions

Open Positions

Inspecciona posiciones activas y estado no realizado.

TickerSideContractsEntryCurrentUnrealized
NGshort52.832.884-$2,700.00
ZSlong31280.51305$3,675.00
SBlong519.0619.06$0.00
CClong160296029$0.00