CROPCAST AI
Stale<1h
Top Convictionオート麦 (ZO)2026/06/18 07:36

オート麦 Bullish

CropCast は 3層データ、Quant Engine、4つの専門 Crew、公開スコアカードを 1 つの体験にまとめます。まず検証し、その後 TradingView で実行します。

CONFIRMDecision Badge
Model Confidence87%

Agent Consensus

4 / 6

4 of 12 agents agree bullish (incl. 6 LLM)

Expected Vol

High

Market Pulse

Global Liquidity
Export Demand
Weather Risk

Real-time Momentum Flow

AIクイックアンサー

オート麦(ZO) 30日見通し: 上昇優勢。4/6 Crew同意。確信度87%。(2026-06-18)

Analyst Crew Evidence

90%

Supply Dynamics

Harvest, logistics, stocks · オート麦

Moisture deficit in us_corn_belt: precip 8mm vs ET0 demand 29mm. Quant 7d foreca

89%

Demand Profile

Institutional, consumer, processing · オート麦

LE at 52w 82%: profitable feeding encourages ZO demand. Price at 23.4th percenti

74%

Macro Trends

Energy, FX, policy · オート麦

Natural gas at 52w 13%: fertilizer costs low. Broad momentum: 7 golden crosses a

90%

Global Flows

CME, fundamentals, seasonal · オート麦

RSI 17: deeply oversold, bounce expected. MACD -11.65: negative momentum. Golden

12%

Logistics

Shipping, ports, exports · オート麦

No active shipping route disruptions detected | No export sales data available |

42%

Sentiment

Market mood, positioning · オート麦

RSI oversold (16.6)

AIマルチモデル合意

AI判定

強気

確信度

64.3%

合意率

100%

Agents

6/12

投票分布

強気
100%
中立
0%
弱気
0%

主要因

  • 1June Old Crop Seasonal Tightness Pre Harvest
  • 2Quant Momentum Multi Horizon Convergence
  • 3Thin Oats Market Amplifies Supply Shocks
  • 4Dry Conditions Potentially Extending To Northern Plains
  • 5Below Average Price Triggers Procurement Buying From Food Processors

主要リスク

  • !Moisture Data Attributed To Corn Belt Not Primary Oat Growing Regions Geographic Mismatch
  • !Canadian Oats Crop Condition Unknown And Ca Supplies Dominant In North American Balance Sheet
  • !June July Harvest Pressure Can Absorb And Delay Demand Driven Rally
  • !Thin Oats Market Liquidity Inflates Quant Signal Reliability And Can Reverse Sharply

クルー別分析

供給sonnet-4.6

The June seasonal setup for ZO is genuinely tight — oats new crop harvest doesn't arrive until late July/August, so old crop draw-downs historically pressure prices in this window.

需要sonnet-4.6

ZO at the 23rd percentile of its 52-week range represents genuine value that food processors and feed operators will exploit through forward procurement — this is one of the cleaner demand-pull...

心理sonnet-4.6

RSI at 16.6 is an extreme reading rarely sustained — statistically, this level precedes mean-reversion bounces in commodity futures regardless of fundamental backdrop.

グローバルsonnet-4.6

ZO (Oats) at RSI 17 is in extreme oversold territory that historically precedes sharp technical reversals, and the golden cross confirms the underlying medium-term trend structure remains intact.

ルール vs AIdisagree

Commodity Futures

As of 2026年6月18日
680
0.0%
6,200
0.0%
배추
860
-100.4%
사과
10,700
+46.6%
2,950
0.0%
양파
733
-53.5%

Prediction Performance Timeline

Historical signal accuracy tracking over rolling 30D window.

Overall Accuracy

53%

T-9HIT
T-8HIT
T-7HIT
T-6HIT
T-5HIT
T-4HIT
T-3MISS
T-2MISS
T-1MISS
T-1LIVE

CropCast v2.0 — AI農産物価格予測エンジン

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