Research Desk

Ежедневный детальный отчет

Это не вспомогательный контент, а финальный слой проверки перед исполнением. Здесь в одном research-desk потоке собраны главный сигнал, состояние сбора данных и top debate outputs.

Отчет на 15.09.2026, 21:21

Пайплайн
v2.0
Капитал
$971,986.77
Доходность
-2.80%
Открытые позиции
4
Runtime

Runtime health

Runtime payload is fresh and has enough verified history for public use.

state fresh
report 15.09.2026, 21:21
age 0.0h
verified 2909
Lead

Lead Judgment

Сначала проверьте сигнал с наибольшей уверенностью.

KC
Рост · Подтвердить
72%

KC +37.8%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Уверенность лидирующего сигнала72%
Понятная интерпретация
Ключевая причина
i

[Supply Crew / Coffee] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+36.09%). RSI 5 → 과매도, 반등 가능. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세. 볼린저 하단 이탈 → 반등 가능

Почему стоит подождать или быть осторожнее
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Что проверить дальше
i

높은 변동성 47% → 갑작스런 반전 가능

Need more context?
i

If evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm run become the extra validation layer.

Основания

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Риски

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Agent views
Supply Crew
Coffee

Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+36.09%). RSI 5 → 과매도, 반등 가능. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세. 볼린저 하단 이탈 → 반등 가능

Demand Crew
Coffee

Quant 수요 관점: bullish (+36.09%). 명절 시즌 접근 → 기관 수요 증가 예상

Macro Crew
Coffee

원유 52주 81% → 물류비/비료비 상승 압력. 천연가스 52주 7% → 비료 원가↓

Market regime

High-volatility regime

Event context
높은 변동성 47% → 갑작스런 반전 가능
Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Execution

Execution Funnel

Текущая структура: evidence → validation → TradingView execution.

Hit rate
41.8%
verified 2909
Win rate
40%
30 trades
Data

Collection Snapshot

Сожмите масштаб сегодняшнего входного слоя в один обзор.

Global futures: 0
KR items: 0 / 0
Intelligence: 00
Signals: weather 0 · text 0
Portfolio

Open Positions

Проверьте активные позиции и нереализованное состояние.

Equity
$971,986.77
Realized PnL
-$28,988.23
Cash
$939,411.77
Margin Used
$31,600.00
Debate

Top Debate Results

Покажите самые сильные debate outputs по confidence.

HE
Скорректировать · Рост
90% conf

HE +7.2%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Ключевая причина
i

[Supply Crew / Lean Hogs] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+7.81%). 52주 저점 8% 부근 → 공급 감소 예상. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Почему стоит подождать или быть осторожнее
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Что проверить дальше
i

높은 변동성 57% → 예측 불확실성 상승

Сырые основания

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Сырые риски

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
KC
Подтвердить · Рост
72% conf

KC +37.8%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Ключевая причина
i

[Supply Crew / Coffee] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+36.09%). RSI 5 → 과매도, 반등 가능. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세. 볼린저 하단 이탈 → 반등 가능

Почему стоит подождать или быть осторожнее
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Что проверить дальше
i

높은 변동성 47% → 갑작스런 반전 가능

Сырые основания

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Сырые риски

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
CC
Подтвердить · Рост
72% conf

CC +5.0%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Ключевая причина
i

[Supply Crew / Cocoa] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+5.60%). SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Почему стоит подождать или быть осторожнее
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Что проверить дальше
i

높은 변동성 46% → 예측 불확실성 상승

Сырые основания

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Сырые риски

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
CT
Подтвердить · Рост
72% conf

CT +2.0%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Ключевая причина
i

[Supply Crew / Cotton] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+1.35%). SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Почему стоит подождать или быть осторожнее
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Что проверить дальше
i

높은 변동성 33% → 예측 불확실성 상승

Сырые основания

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Сырые риски

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
ZO
Скорректировать · Падение
68% conf

ZO -21.6%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Ключевая причина
i

[Supply Crew / Oats] Quant 7일 예측: bearish (-21.34%). RSI 82 → 과매수, 조정 가능. 52주 고점 100% 부근 → 공급 증가 유인. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Почему стоит подождать или быть осторожнее
i

Waiting or staying defensive is cleaner than acting immediately.

Что проверить дальше
i

고유가 지속 시 곡물 생산비 증가

Сырые основания

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Сырые риски

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
ZC
Скорректировать · Рост
67% conf

ZC +3.6%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Ключевая причина
i

[Supply Crew / Corn] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+2.41%). RSI 75 → 과매수, 조정 가능. 52주 고점 100% 부근 → 공급 증가 유인. SMA50>SMA200 골든크로스 → 상승 추세

Почему стоит подождать или быть осторожнее
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Что проверить дальше
i

52주 고점 100% → 저항 가능

Сырые основания

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Сырые риски

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
NG
Скорректировать · Рост
67% conf

NG +12.7%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Ключевая причина
i

[Supply Crew / Natural Gas] Quant 7일 예측: bullish (+8.38%). 52주 저점 7% 부근 → 공급 감소 예상. SMA50<SMA200 데스크로스 → 하락 추세

Почему стоит подождать или быть осторожнее
i

Bullish, but confirmation-first execution is cleaner than chasing.

Что проверить дальше
i

고유가 지속 시 곡물 생산비 증가

Сырые основания

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Сырые риски

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
LE
Подтвердить · Падение
51% conf

LE -7.3%: Crew 가중 합의 기준

Ключевая причина
i

[Supply Crew / Live Cattle] Quant 7일 예측: bearish (-6.90%). SMA50<SMA200 데스크로스 → 하락 추세

Почему стоит подождать или быть осторожнее
i

Waiting or staying defensive is cleaner than acting immediately.

Что проверить дальше
i

고유가 지속 시 곡물 생산비 증가

Сырые основания

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Сырые риски

Detailed narrative is currently available in the source-language data only.

Disagreement diagnosis
The crews converged without major conflict.
Moderator decision log

The crews converged without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
The crews converged without major conflict.
Quant

Quant Forecast Table

Проверьте числовой слой прогноза в таблице.

TickerCurrent7D30DMAPE
Positions

Open Positions

Проверьте активные позиции и нереализованное состояние.

TickerSideContractsEntryCurrentUnrealized
NGshort52.832.884-$2,700.00
ZSlong31280.51305$3,675.00
SBlong519.0619.06$0.00
CClong160296029$0.00