ما توقعات سعر غاز-طبيعي بعد 30 يوما؟

30-day forecast: $1.90 (-31.66%), range: $1.43–$2.41.

كيف ابدا تداول عقود غاز-طبيعي الاجلة؟

غاز-طبيعي (NG) futures trade on CME/ICE. Review CropCast evidence and scorecard, then execute via a charting platform like TradingView.

ما العوامل الرئيسية المؤثرة على سعر غاز-طبيعي؟

Key factors include USDA stock reports, NOAA weather forecasts, CFTC COT positioning, NASA NDVI crop health, FX rates, and energy prices.

ما دقة توقعات CropCast لسعر غاز-طبيعي؟

Hit rate: 81.3% (61/75). Wrong calls stay visible.

توقعات سعر غاز-طبيعي 2026 — ذكاء اصطناعي

—محايد⇄ADJUST

السعر الحالي

$2.78

+0.47%

مستوى الإجماع

72%

مستوى الثقة

63%

ثقة القرار63%

Main report time

Market snapshot time

٠٤‏/٠٥‏/٢٠٢٦، ٠٦:٥٧ ص (UTC)

Quant basis

7D bearish · -17.79%

غاز-طبيعي لا يظهر حتى الآن أفضلية اتجاه واضحة.

حتى ترتفع الثقة أكثر، يبقى الانتظار والمراقبة الأنسب.

التقرير اليومي بطاقة الأداء

Summary

قراءة مبسطة

اقرأ الاتجاه والدليل والمخاطر أولاً ثم قرر كيف تنفذ.

قراءة سريعة

غاز-طبيعي لا يظهر حتى الآن أفضلية اتجاه واضحة. حتى ترتفع الثقة أكثر، يبقى الانتظار والمراقبة الأنسب.

Judgment basis

Adopted moderator evidence is unavailable, so this section currently shows supporting crew evidence instead.

Main report time

Market snapshot time

٠٤‏/٠٥‏/٢٠٢٦، ٠٦:٥٧ ص (UTC)

Quant basis

7D bearish · -17.79%

Evidence basis

العرض

[Supply Crew / NG] Quant 7d forecast: bearish (-17.8%), supply pressure easing. Wide CI range (33%): high supply uncertainty. Seasonal: month 5 typically sees new supply arriving for NG. 52w position 5%: low prices likely reducing production incentives. High volatility (36%): potential supply-chain disruption

الطلب

[Demand Crew / NG] Price at 5.2th percentile of 52w range — bargain levels attract restocking and value buying from processors. Expensive crude drives fuel switching toward natural gas. Quant 7d: bearish (-17.8%), consistent with demand softness

الماكرو

[Macro Crew / NG] HIGH volatility regime (36%): elevated uncertainty, wider ranges expected. Broad commodity trend bullish: 8/11 above SMA200 (73%). Broad momentum: 8 golden crosses across commodities. EXTREME crisis level: flight-to-real-assets, commodity hoarding likely. Quant 7d: bearish (-17.8%), macro alignment

لماذا هذا الحكم

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

لماذا قد يكون الانتظار أفضل

حتى ترتفع الثقة أكثر، يبقى الانتظار والمراقبة الأنسب.

ما الذي نتابعه بعد ذلك

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Need more context?

When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.

Agent views

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

Market regime

Event-wait / neutral regime

Event context

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Disagreement diagnosis

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Moderator log

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Adopted evidence

Deferred evidence

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

السيناريو الأساسي

غاز-طبيعي لا يظهر حتى الآن أفضلية اتجاه واضحة.

مراقبة المخاطر

لا توجد حالياً خلافات كبيرة.

NG swarm simulation under extreme: double_down bias with 9 active signals.

Chart

مخطط السوق

المخطط مرجع بصري فقط؛ أما القرار الحقيقي فيأتي من الأدلة و debate أدناه.

البيانات متأخرة. راجع الأدلة وبطاقة الأداء معاً قبل القرار.

Quant

Quant Forecast

قارن نطاقات 7D و14D و30D في البنية نفسها.

$2.29

-17.79%

$1.83 ~ $2.75

14d

$2.24

-19.28%

$1.76 ~ $2.71

30d

$1.90

-31.66%

$1.43 ~ $2.41

Technical Analysis

Debate

4-Crew Debate

هنا تؤكد المنظومة أو تعدل أو تعكس قاعدة quant الأساسية.

Decision

⇄ADJUST

Direction

—محايد

Consensus

72%

Score

-0.331

Swarm

Recent Swarm Scenario

في ظروف الأزمة تصبح المحاكاة طبقة قرار إضافية.

Run

swarm_20260412_063047_ng

Direction

هبوط

Confidence

66.4%

NG swarm simulation under extreme: double_down bias with 9 active signals.

가뭄 경고 (2개)LE 52주 극단CC 52주 극단

Track Record

Prediction History

Recent prediction track record for NG

81%

Hit rate

AI Debate

إجماع AI متعدد

تحليل متقاطع من وكلاء AI مستقلين

▼

حكم AI

هبوطي

الثقة

61%

إجماع

87%

Agents

6/12

توزيع الأصوات

صعودي

14%

محايد

هبوطي

87%

العوامل الرئيسية

1Shoulder Season Demand Trough
2Storage Injection Season Supply Pressure
3Magnitude Of Quant Bearish Signal Too Large To Ignore
4Price Floor Not Yet Established At 2.78
5Shoulder Season Demand Trough May June

المخاطر الرئيسية

!Unexpected Early Summer Heat Dome Could Spike Power Gen Demand
!LNG Export Surge If European Demand Tightens Unexpectedly
!Rsi 63 Divergence Signals Accumulation Near Lows Potential Snap Rally
!Producer Breakeven Floor Circa 190 200 Limits Downside Quant Target Aggressive

ملخص تحليل الطاقم

◉Demandsonnet-4.6

While low prices theoretically attract restocking, we are squarely in shoulder season (May), when heating demand has collapsed and cooling demand has not yet materialized — this is structurally the...

▲Globalsonnet-4.6

NG at $2.78 sits in structurally weak territory: death cross confirmed, seasonal headwinds in May are well-documented as shoulder season demand collapses, and European LNG storage refill pace has...

⬡Logisticssonnet-4.6

May 2026 places NG squarely in the injection season shoulder, where heating demand collapses and storage operators pivot to refill draws from the prior winter — a structurally bearish logistics...

◈Supplysonnet-4.6

May marks the heart of injection season — storage builds accelerate while heating demand collapses and cooling demand hasn't yet materialized, creating a structural supply overhang that reinforces...

القواعد مقابل AIdisagree

Execution

Evidence → Validation → TradingView

أزل سلوك التسوق وأبق الصفحة مركزة على الأدلة والتحقق والتنفيذ عبر الرسم البياني.

Report

افتح تقرير الأدلة

Validation

راجع بطاقة الأداء والتداول التجريبي

Path

30-Day Forecast Path

Date	Forecast	Low	High
2026-05-02	$2.07	$1.59	$2.54
2026-05-03	$2.07	$1.59	$2.55
2026-05-04	$2.30	$1.83	$2.79
2026-05-05	$2.29	$1.84	$2.77
2026-05-06	$2.31	$1.81	$2.80
2026-05-07	$2.27	$1.79	$2.77
2026-05-08	$2.29	$1.83	$2.75
2026-05-09	$2.06	$1.58	$2.48
2026-05-10	$2.05	$1.62	$2.56
2026-05-11	$2.29	$1.79	$2.76
2026-05-12	$2.27	$1.78	$2.72
2026-05-13	$2.28	$1.79	$2.77
2026-05-14	$2.24	$1.82	$2.71
2026-05-15	$2.24	$1.76	$2.71

E-E-A-T

مصادر البيانات

USDA WASDE NOAA ENSO/CFSv2 CFTC COT NASA NDVI KAMIS CME Group FAO

المنهجية: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more

اخر تحديث: ٠٤‏/٠٥‏/٢٠٢٦، ٠٦:٥٧ ص (UTC)