Signal Detail

Jagung

Jawaban Cepat AI

Jagung (ZC) 30-day outlook: Naik. 6/6 of 4 Crews agree. Key evidence: Moisture deficit in us_corn_belt: precip 4mm vs ET0 demand 29. Confidence 82%. (As of 2026-06-18)

ZC
NaikADJUST
Harga Saat Ini
$421.25
+1.81%
Konsensus
73%
Kepercayaan
82%
Confidence keputusan82%
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
18/06/2026, 00.06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D neutral · -0.25%

Jagung saat ini condong bullish.

Tinjau bukti dulu, lalu ikuti skenario bullish secara selektif.

Summary

Ringkasan sederhana

Baca arah, bukti, dan risiko sebelum memutuskan cara eksekusi.

Ringkasan cepat

Jagung saat ini condong bullish. Tinjau bukti dulu, lalu ikuti skenario bullish secara selektif.

Judgment basis
Adopted moderator evidence is unavailable, so this section currently shows supporting crew evidence instead.
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
18/06/2026, 00.06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D neutral · -0.25%
Evidence basis
Pasokan
[Supply Crew / ZC] Moisture deficit in us_corn_belt: precip 4mm vs ET0 demand 29mm. Moisture deficit in brazil_mt: precip 4mm vs ET0 demand 24mm. Moisture deficit in argentina_rosario: precip 1mm vs ET0 demand 9mm. Quant 7d forecast: bullish (+1.8%), supply may be tightening. Seasonal: month 6 is typically a tight-supply period for ZC
Permintaan
[Demand Crew / ZC] Crude oil dropped -6.1% today: ethanol demand weakness. LE at 52w 82%: profitable feeding encourages ZC demand. Summer driving season boosts ethanol/corn demand. Quant 7d: bullish (+1.8%), consistent with demand strength
Makro
[Macro Crew / ZC] Natural gas at 52w 15%: fertilizer costs low. LOW volatility regime (14%): compression often precedes breakout. Broad momentum: 7 golden crosses across commodities. Intelligence: 4 geopolitical signals (risk-on for commodities). HIGH crisis level: elevated risk appetite for commodities. Quant 7d: bullish (+1.8%), macro alignment
Mengapa seperti ini
i

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

Mengapa menunggu bisa lebih baik
i

Even on a bullish call, remaining risks mean waiting for confirmation can still be cleaner than chasing.

Apa yang dicek berikutnya
i

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Need more context?
i

When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.

Agent views
Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.
Market regime

Directional regime

Event context
Watch the next data refresh and debate update.
Disagreement diagnosis
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Moderator log

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Skenario dasar

Jagung saat ini condong bullish.

Risk watch
Belum ada perbedaan besar saat ini.
ZC swarm simulation under high: double_up bias with 3 active signals.
Chart

Grafik Pasar

Grafik hanya referensi visual; keputusan utama datang dari bukti dan debate di bawah.

Data tertunda. Gabungkan chart dengan bukti dan scorecard.
Quant

Quant Forecast

Bandingkan 7D, 14D, dan 30D dalam struktur yang sama.

7d
$420.20
-0.25%
$408.00 ~ $431.82
14d
$416.53
-1.12%
$403.71 ~ $428.35
30d
$405.60
-3.71%
$392.69 ~ $418.09
TA

Technical Analysis

Debate

4-Crew Debate

Di sini sistem mengonfirmasi, menyesuaikan, atau override base case quant.

Decision
ADJUST
Direction
Naik
Consensus
73%
Score
+0.998
Swarm

Recent Swarm Scenario

Saat krisis, simulasi menjadi layer keputusan tambahan.

Run
swarm_20260617_065433_zc
Direction
Naik
Confidence
92%

ZC swarm simulation under high: double_up bias with 3 active signals.

가뭄 경고 (1개)다수 선물 고변동성 (3개)HIGH 인사이트 50개 동시
Track Record

Prediction History

Recent prediction track record for ZC

ZC
ZC
ZC
22%
Hit rate
AI Debate

Konsensus Multi-AI

Analisis silang dari agen AI independen

Keputusan AI

Naik

Keyakinan

64%

Kesepakatan

89%

Agents

6/12

Distribusi Suara

Naik
89%
Netral
12%
Turun
0%

Faktor Kunci

  • 1RSI 16.0 — extreme oversold, historically signals near-term exhaustion of sell-side momentum and short-covering catalyst setup
  • 2News sentiment at maximum bearishness (2.0w bear / 0.0w bull) across 32 insights — crowd consensus this lopsided often marks a local sentiment bottom
  • 3Quant engine independently projects +1.76% in 7 days, providing cross-signal confirmation for the near-term bounce thesis
  • 4Us Corn Belt Pollination Window Moisture Stress
  • 5Wasde Stocks To Use Tightening June

Risiko Utama

  • !Broad commodity complex weakness (6/8 commodities falling) represents genuine macro headwinds that could suppress any bounce magnitude or duration
  • !30-day quant forecast is negative (-1.49%), meaning the structural trend remains down — a bear trap bounce could lure longs before resuming lower
  • !30d Quant Bearish Signal Implies New Crop Relief Ahead
  • !Brazil Argentina Deficits Post Harvest Limited Price Impact

Ringkasan Analisis Kru

Sentimentsonnet-4.6

RSI at 16.0 is a statistically rare capitulation extreme — in my experience, readings this low in liquid ag futures almost always precede a technical relief bounce, regardless of prevailing news...

Supplysonnet-4.6

The US Corn Belt moisture deficit is the dominant driver: 4mm precipitation against 29mm ET0 demand during June — exactly when the US crop approaches the critical VT/R1 pollination window (late...

Demandsonnet-4.6

Feed demand from profitable cattle operations (LE at 82nd 52w percentile) is a genuine, durable bullish signal for corn — feedlots don't walk away from margin.

Macrosonnet-4.6

Macro backdrop for ZC is constructively bullish but with important caveats — low nat gas undercutting fertilizer costs is a double-edged signal (it lowers input costs but also incentivizes higher...

Aturan vs AIdisagree
Execution

Evidence → Validation → TradingView

Hilangkan perilaku shopping dan fokuskan halaman pada bukti, scorecard, dan chart execution.

Path

30-Day Forecast Path

DateForecastLowHigh
2026-06-18$424.67$413.03$437.40
2026-06-19$423.17$411.02$435.42
2026-06-20$427.71$416.11$439.72
2026-06-21$427.00$414.53$438.87
2026-06-22$421.50$409.56$433.16
2026-06-23$420.78$408.42$432.30
2026-06-24$420.20$408.00$431.82
2026-06-25$419.93$407.73$433.18
2026-06-26$418.68$406.62$431.89
2026-06-27$423.46$410.82$435.77
2026-06-28$422.94$411.19$434.96
2026-06-29$417.60$405.72$429.15
2026-06-30$417.02$405.34$430.94
2026-07-01$416.53$403.71$428.35
E-E-A-T

Sumber Data

Metodologi: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more

Terakhir diperbarui:

CropCast v2.0 — Mesin Prediksi Harga Komoditas AI