Signal Detail

Maíz

Respuesta Rapida IA

Maíz (ZC) 30-day outlook: Alcista. 6/6 of 4 Crews agree. Key evidence: Moisture deficit in us_corn_belt: precip 4mm vs ET0 demand 29. Confidence 82%. (As of 2026-06-18)

ZC
AlcistaADJUST
Precio Actual
$421.25
+1.81%
Consenso
73%
Confianza
82%
Confianza de la decisión82%
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
18/06/2026, 00:06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D neutral · -0.25%

Maíz muestra un sesgo alcista por ahora.

Revisa la evidencia y después sigue el escenario alcista de forma selectiva.

Summary

Lectura en lenguaje claro

Lee dirección, evidencia y riesgo antes de decidir cómo ejecutar.

Lectura rápida

Maíz muestra un sesgo alcista por ahora. Revisa la evidencia y después sigue el escenario alcista de forma selectiva.

Judgment basis
Adopted moderator evidence is unavailable, so this section currently shows supporting crew evidence instead.
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
18/06/2026, 00:06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D neutral · -0.25%
Evidence basis
Oferta
[Supply Crew / ZC] Moisture deficit in us_corn_belt: precip 4mm vs ET0 demand 29mm. Moisture deficit in brazil_mt: precip 4mm vs ET0 demand 24mm. Moisture deficit in argentina_rosario: precip 1mm vs ET0 demand 9mm. Quant 7d forecast: bullish (+1.8%), supply may be tightening. Seasonal: month 6 is typically a tight-supply period for ZC
Demanda
[Demand Crew / ZC] Crude oil dropped -6.1% today: ethanol demand weakness. LE at 52w 82%: profitable feeding encourages ZC demand. Summer driving season boosts ethanol/corn demand. Quant 7d: bullish (+1.8%), consistent with demand strength
Macro
[Macro Crew / ZC] Natural gas at 52w 15%: fertilizer costs low. LOW volatility regime (14%): compression often precedes breakout. Broad momentum: 7 golden crosses across commodities. Intelligence: 4 geopolitical signals (risk-on for commodities). HIGH crisis level: elevated risk appetite for commodities. Quant 7d: bullish (+1.8%), macro alignment
Por qué esta lectura
i

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

Por qué puede ser mejor esperar
i

Even on a bullish call, remaining risks mean waiting for confirmation can still be cleaner than chasing.

Qué vigilar después
i

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Need more context?
i

When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.

Agent views
Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.
Market regime

Directional regime

Event context
Watch the next data refresh and debate update.
Disagreement diagnosis
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Moderator log

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Escenario base

Maíz muestra un sesgo alcista por ahora.

Riesgo
No hay grandes desacuerdos ahora mismo.
ZC swarm simulation under high: double_up bias with 3 active signals.
Chart

Gráfico de Mercado

El gráfico es solo referencia visual; la decisión real sale de la evidencia y del debate inferior.

Datos con retraso. Combina el gráfico con evidencia y scorecard.
Quant

Quant Forecast

Compara 7D, 14D y 30D con la misma estructura.

7d
$420.20
-0.25%
$408.00 ~ $431.82
14d
$416.53
-1.12%
$403.71 ~ $428.35
30d
$405.60
-3.71%
$392.69 ~ $418.09
TA

Technical Analysis

Debate

4-Crew Debate

Aquí el sistema confirma, ajusta o revierte la tesis base del quant.

Decision
ADJUST
Direction
Alcista
Consensus
73%
Score
+0.998
Swarm

Recent Swarm Scenario

En crisis, la simulación agrega una capa extra de decisión.

Run
swarm_20260617_065433_zc
Direction
Alcista
Confidence
92%

ZC swarm simulation under high: double_up bias with 3 active signals.

가뭄 경고 (1개)다수 선물 고변동성 (3개)HIGH 인사이트 50개 동시
Track Record

Prediction History

Recent prediction track record for ZC

ZC
ZC
ZC
22%
Hit rate
AI Debate

Consenso Multi-IA

Análisis cruzado de agentes de IA independientes

Veredicto IA

Alcista

Confianza

64%

Acuerdo

89%

Agents

6/12

Votación

Alcista
89%
Neutral
12%
Bajista
0%

Factores clave

  • 1RSI 16.0 — extreme oversold, historically signals near-term exhaustion of sell-side momentum and short-covering catalyst setup
  • 2News sentiment at maximum bearishness (2.0w bear / 0.0w bull) across 32 insights — crowd consensus this lopsided often marks a local sentiment bottom
  • 3Quant engine independently projects +1.76% in 7 days, providing cross-signal confirmation for the near-term bounce thesis
  • 4Us Corn Belt Pollination Window Moisture Stress
  • 5Wasde Stocks To Use Tightening June

Riesgos clave

  • !Broad commodity complex weakness (6/8 commodities falling) represents genuine macro headwinds that could suppress any bounce magnitude or duration
  • !30-day quant forecast is negative (-1.49%), meaning the structural trend remains down — a bear trap bounce could lure longs before resuming lower
  • !30d Quant Bearish Signal Implies New Crop Relief Ahead
  • !Brazil Argentina Deficits Post Harvest Limited Price Impact

Resumen por Equipo

Sentimentsonnet-4.6

RSI at 16.0 is a statistically rare capitulation extreme — in my experience, readings this low in liquid ag futures almost always precede a technical relief bounce, regardless of prevailing news...

Supplysonnet-4.6

The US Corn Belt moisture deficit is the dominant driver: 4mm precipitation against 29mm ET0 demand during June — exactly when the US crop approaches the critical VT/R1 pollination window (late...

Demandsonnet-4.6

Feed demand from profitable cattle operations (LE at 82nd 52w percentile) is a genuine, durable bullish signal for corn — feedlots don't walk away from margin.

Macrosonnet-4.6

Macro backdrop for ZC is constructively bullish but with important caveats — low nat gas undercutting fertilizer costs is a double-edged signal (it lowers input costs but also incentivizes higher...

Reglas vs IAdisagree
Execution

Evidence → Validation → TradingView

Quita el comportamiento de compra y deja la página enfocada en evidencia, scorecard y ejecución por gráfico.

Path

30-Day Forecast Path

DateForecastLowHigh
2026-06-18$424.67$413.03$437.40
2026-06-19$423.17$411.02$435.42
2026-06-20$427.71$416.11$439.72
2026-06-21$427.00$414.53$438.87
2026-06-22$421.50$409.56$433.16
2026-06-23$420.78$408.42$432.30
2026-06-24$420.20$408.00$431.82
2026-06-25$419.93$407.73$433.18
2026-06-26$418.68$406.62$431.89
2026-06-27$423.46$410.82$435.77
2026-06-28$422.94$411.19$434.96
2026-06-29$417.60$405.72$429.15
2026-06-30$417.02$405.34$430.94
2026-07-01$416.53$403.71$428.35
E-E-A-T

Fuentes de Datos

Metodologia: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more

Ultima actualizacion:

CropCast v2.0 — Motor de Predicción de Precios con IA