Sapi saat ini condong bullish.
Tinjau bukti dulu, lalu ikuti skenario bullish secara selektif.
Ringkasan sederhana
Baca arah, bukti, dan risiko sebelum memutuskan cara eksekusi.
Sapi saat ini condong bullish. Tinjau bukti dulu, lalu ikuti skenario bullish secara selektif.
i
Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.
i
Even on a bullish call, remaining risks mean waiting for confirmation can still be cleaner than chasing.
i
Watch the next data refresh and debate update.
i
When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.
Directional regime
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Sapi saat ini condong bullish.
Grafik Pasar
Grafik hanya referensi visual; keputusan utama datang dari bukti dan debate di bawah.
Quant Forecast
Bandingkan 7D, 14D, dan 30D dalam struktur yang sama.
Technical Analysis
4-Crew Debate
Di sini sistem mengonfirmasi, menyesuaikan, atau override base case quant.
Prediction History
Recent prediction track record for LE
Konsensus Multi-AI
Analisis silang dari agen AI independen
Keputusan AI
Naik
Keyakinan
43%
Kesepakatan
63%
Agents
6/12
Distribusi Suara
Faktor Kunci
- 1Retail Beef Affordability Stress At 89th Pct Price
- 2Food Service Margin Compression Reducing Beef Menu Presence
- 3Consumer Protein Substitution Toward Pork Poultry
- 4Feedlot Operator Margin Squeeze From Elevated ZC Costs
- 5Grilling Season Demand Already Priced In
Risiko Utama
- !Grilling Season May Sustain Demand Longer Than Expected
- !Export Demand From Asia Could Offset Domestic Softness
- !Cold-chain export disruption (Japan, South Korea, China beef corridors) — a logistics shock to boxed-beef exports could pressure cutout values and feed back into live cattle weakness
- !Elevated current price ($253) leaves little margin for error; any demand softening or plant slowdown (labor, maintenance) could break the upward drift quickly
Ringkasan Analisis Kru
Live Cattle at the 89th percentile of its 52-week range creates measurable demand destruction at the retail and food-service level — consumers are actively trading down to pork and poultry, and...
Live Cattle logistics are overwhelmingly domestic — BDI and port congestion carry near-zero signal weight here, making the low relevance score (0.2) accurate rather than a data gap.
Live Cattle (LE) benefits from structurally tight US herd supply — the cattle-on-feed inventory remains near multi-decade lows, creating a fundamental floor that technical and crisis signals amplify.
Live Cattle at $253 sits on structurally tight supply fundamentals — the US breeding herd remains near multi-decade lows post-drought liquidation cycle, and herd rebuilding is a multi-year process...
Evidence → Validation → TradingView
Hilangkan perilaku shopping dan fokuskan halaman pada bukti, scorecard, dan chart execution.
30-Day Forecast Path
| Date | Forecast | Low | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | $251.77 | $247.30 | $255.83 |
| 2026-05-03 | $252.03 | $248.10 | $256.49 |
| 2026-05-04 | $253.16 | $248.90 | $257.49 |
| 2026-05-05 | $253.52 | $249.08 | $258.01 |
| 2026-05-06 | $253.96 | $249.61 | $258.31 |
| 2026-05-07 | $253.91 | $249.43 | $258.42 |
| 2026-05-08 | $254.18 | $249.77 | $258.36 |
| 2026-05-09 | $252.92 | $248.64 | $257.19 |
| 2026-05-10 | $252.96 | $248.78 | $257.24 |
| 2026-05-11 | $253.88 | $249.35 | $258.05 |
| 2026-05-12 | $254.05 | $249.99 | $258.44 |
| 2026-05-13 | $254.31 | $249.92 | $258.86 |
| 2026-05-14 | $254.11 | $249.86 | $258.42 |
| 2026-05-15 | $254.26 | $249.88 | $258.59 |
Sumber Data
Metodologi: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more