咖啡未来30天价格展望？

30-day forecast: $212.20 (-22.09%), range: $192.88–$230.87.

如何开始交易咖啡期货？

咖啡 (KC) futures trade on CME/ICE. Review CropCast evidence and scorecard, then execute via a charting platform like TradingView.

影响咖啡价格的主要因素？

Key factors include USDA stock reports, NOAA weather forecasts, CFTC COT positioning, NASA NDVI crop health, FX rates, and energy prices.

CropCast的咖啡预测准确率？

Hit rate: 57.3% (43/75). Wrong calls stay visible.

咖啡价格预测 2026 — AI预测

↓看跌⇄ADJUST

当前价格

$272.35

-1.77%

共识度

80%

置信度

68%

判断确定性68%

Main report time

Market snapshot time

2026/06/18 00:06 (UTC)

Quant basis

7D bearish · -21.77%

咖啡目前偏向下跌判断。

与其追价，不如保持防守或等待更好的价格。

每日报告成绩单

Summary

通俗判断

先读方向、证据和风险，再决定如何执行。

快速结论

咖啡目前偏向下跌判断。与其追价，不如保持防守或等待更好的价格。

Judgment basis

Adopted moderator evidence is unavailable, so this section currently shows supporting crew evidence instead.

Main report time

Market snapshot time

2026/06/18 00:06 (UTC)

Quant basis

7D bearish · -21.77%

Evidence basis

供应分析

[Supply Crew / KC] Excess moisture in vietnam_mekong: precip 56mm vs ET0 27mm. Moisture deficit in brazil_mt: precip 4mm vs ET0 demand 24mm. Quant 7d forecast: bearish (-23.4%), supply pressure easing. Seasonal: month 6 typically sees new supply arriving for KC. 52w position 16%: low prices likely reducing production incentives

需求分析

[Demand Crew / KC] Price at 15.5th percentile of 52w range — below-average pricing supports downstream demand recovery. Quant 7d: bearish (-23.4%), consistent with demand softness

宏观分析

[Macro Crew / KC] Broad momentum: 8 golden crosses across commodities. Intelligence: 4 geopolitical signals (risk-on for commodities). HIGH crisis level: elevated risk appetite for commodities. Quant 7d: bearish (-23.4%), macro alignment

为什么会这样判断

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

为什么等待可能更好

与其追价，不如保持防守或等待更好的价格。

下一步看什么

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Need more context?

When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.

Agent views

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

Market regime

Directional regime

Event context

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Disagreement diagnosis

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Moderator log

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Adopted evidence

Deferred evidence

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

基础情景

咖啡目前偏向下跌判断。

风险提示

当前没有明显分歧。

KC swarm simulation under extreme: double_down bias with 9 active signals.

Chart

市场图表

图表仅作视觉参考，真正的判断来自下方的证据和 debate。

这是延迟数据。判断前请同时查看证据与成绩单。

Quant

Quant Forecast

用同一结构比较 7D、14D 和 30D 区间。

$213.05

-21.77%

$194.53 ~ $230.49

14d

$203.61

-25.24%

$184.46 ~ $221.28

30d

$212.20

-22.09%

$192.88 ~ $230.87

Technical Analysis

Debate

4-Crew Debate

系统会在这里确认、调整或推翻 quant 基线。

Decision

⇄ADJUST

Direction

↓看跌

Consensus

80%

Score

-0.458

Swarm

Recent Swarm Scenario

危机状态下，模拟会成为额外决策层。

Run

swarm_20260412_063047_kc

Direction

看跌

Confidence

66.4%

KC swarm simulation under extreme: double_down bias with 9 active signals.

가뭄 경고 (2개)LE 52주 극단CC 52주 극단

Track Record

Prediction History

Recent prediction track record for KC

57%

Hit rate

AI Debate

AI多模型共识

独立AI代理交叉验证分析

▼

AI判定

看跌

确信度

62%

共识率

100%

Agents

6/12

投票分布

看涨

中性

看跌

100%

关键因素

1Brazil arabica harvest peak approaching — Santos export volumes typically surge June–August, adding supply pressure and weakening nearby futures
2Bullish rule-based signals are grain/wheat logistics entirely unrelated to coffee; effective signal quality for KC is near-zero from that data
3No coffee-specific port congestion, cold-chain disruption, or freight bottleneck identified that would create a supply-side squeeze
4USD Strength From Persistent Fed Hawkishness
5Mean Reversion After Historic Supply Shock Rally

主要风险

!Vietnamese robusta crop stress or unexpected Brazilian frost event (tail risk in June) could rapidly flip logistics from bearish to bullish
!Quant forecast magnitude (-23% in 7d) is extreme and may already be overshooting; a technical rebound could generate short-term counter-trend moves
!Renewed La Nina Weather Disruption In Brazil Or Vietnam Could Reverse Supply Outlook
!Broad Commodity Risk On Surge From Escalating Geopolitical Crisis Could Drag Coffee Higher

团队分析摘要

⬡物流sonnet-4.6

The rule-based bullish signals are entirely misattributed — they reference Kazakhstan wheat imports and Black Sea grain logistics, which have zero relevance to Coffee C futures.

◎宏观sonnet-4.6

Coffee at 273.6 cents/lb is at historically elevated levels following the 2024-2025 supply-shock rally; with no fresh catalyst, mean reversion dominates.

◉需求sonnet-4.6

While Arabica coffee at the 15.5th percentile of its 52-week range ($273.6) should theoretically trigger roaster restocking and downstream demand recovery, the magnitude of the quant signal (-23.4%...

▲全球sonnet-4.6

Technical alignment is clear — death cross, negative MACD, and multi-horizon quant consensus all confirm a structural downtrend consistent with mean-reversion pressure after KC's multi-year rally...

规则 vs AIdisagree

Execution

Evidence → Validation → TradingView

移除购物行为，让页面聚焦于证据、成绩单验证和图表执行。

Path

30-Day Forecast Path

Date	Forecast	Low	High
2026-06-18	$229.56	$211.76	$248.04
2026-06-19	$225.58	$207.45	$242.97
2026-06-20	$171.17	$152.54	$189.68
2026-06-21	$168.14	$149.75	$186.10
2026-06-22	$217.40	$198.36	$235.80
2026-06-23	$214.82	$195.46	$232.32
2026-06-24	$213.05	$194.53	$230.49
2026-06-25	$209.89	$190.90	$227.50
2026-06-26	$207.16	$189.26	$224.30
2026-06-27	$154.23	$134.98	$170.75
2026-06-28	$152.88	$134.71	$171.46
2026-06-29	$203.98	$185.41	$221.79
2026-06-30	$203.36	$185.11	$221.34
2026-07-01	$203.61	$184.46	$221.28

E-E-A-T

数据来源

USDA WASDE NOAA ENSO/CFSv2 CFTC COT NASA NDVI KAMIS CME Group FAO

方法论: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more

最后更新: 2026/06/18 00:06 (UTC)